
#471: Using Mental Models to Make Better Decisions
The Art of Manliness
Working Backwards in Decision Making
Most of the concepts that we learn to look at the world are on a risk basis. But life isn't really about risk, it's more uncertainty and uncertainty by its very nature means we might not know all the possible outcomes. And so one of the ways to make that view more accurate is to take the inversion: What are the outcomes that I want to avoid? And what can I be doing now to avoid those outcomes? If I can avoid those outcomes, well, now I'm more likely to get to the outcome I want.
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