The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens cover image

Erica Thompson: "Models, The Hawkmoth Effect, and the Future"

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens

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How Much of a Model Is Imbued in That Model?

It depends what it is that you're trying to model. And if you're making a model of tomorrow's weather or the flip of a coin or the next roll of a dice or something, actually, it doesn't matter who the modeler is. The value judgments don't really come into it because you're pinned back to the data. Some things obviously take a lot longer for those observations to pan out and there isn't very much data in some cases. In those situations where we're thinking about complex systems, maybe chaotic systems, social systems, any system where humans and human interactions are going to be different,. Then those become much more difficult. I think those are the ones where we

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