GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle
Top Traders Unplugged
Institutional Credibility: Fed and Statistics Risks
Gary warns about political pressure on the Fed and risks from undermining statistics credibility for markets and treasuries.
In this conversation, the veneer of political continuity is stripped back to reveal a world drifting toward harder borders, sharper identities and a reshaping of power once thought unthinkable. Gary Gerstle traces the erosion of the neoliberal order and the rise of a political logic that places national strength above universal norms. He examines how affordability stress, authoritarian impulses and fragmented parties are redrawing economic life and democratic expectations. The discussion widens into a global map of competing hegemons and the uneasy choices facing Europe and the United States. What emerges is a portrait of a century unsettled, yet not without agency.
-----
50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on LinkedIn.
Follow Gary on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Opening remarks on a shifting world and national security visions
00:44 - Introduction to Top Traders Unplugged and context for the discussion
01:40 - Framing the global macro environment and the need for deeper perspectives
02:24 - Introducing Gary Gerstle and his work on political and economic orders
04:00 - Defining the end of the neoliberal era and what has replaced it
07:02 - The tension between authoritarian forces and liberal democratic hopes
08:17 - Democracy under strain and the implications of Trump’s second term
10:06 - Shock, discipline and the early strategic force of Trump 2.0
14:27 - The economic agenda redefining tariffs, reshoring and political constituencies
17:17 - Manufacturing limits, automation and long term structural realities
21:11 - Tariffs, tax politics and the competing factions within the Republican Party
21:50 - Deregulation, AI, Silicon Valley realignment and state influence
26:34 - The affordability crisis and political expectations around prices
31:23 - Prospects for Democrats in 2026 and shifting electoral dynamics
59:32 - A global lens on rising nationalism, new hegemons and the future of the EU
Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
The AI-powered Podcast Player
