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Julian Brigden: The End of Hyper-Financialization

Supply Shock

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Is There a Connection Between Home Prices and Unemployment?

The Fed pencils into their SEP, so their forecast, 4.4% rise in unemployment. That's kind of them telling you've got a recession because you generally don't have more than 0.5 rise in unemployment without generating a recession. So even a rise to 4 would have got your recession. You see a connection in between home prices and the average rent that people are paying. I saw the companies and all clients who were invested directly in companies in late 2021 seeing price increases they couldn't get their heads round.

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