The Reality of My Price Target on Bit Coin

i have a price target on bit coin of over two million us. Dollars per bit coin, measured in to day's dollars. The market is telling me i have a one % chance of being right on my part tri target. So it's like going to the kentucky derby and you trained that horse. It was being given 80 to one odds of winning the kENTUCKY DERBY. There weren't enough people that had the information about the Kentucky Derby winner. Do your home work, watch horse racing. Watch how odds are made in life, and expected value returns. And learn and don't put all your money in one risk basket. That's fasss a