Mantic Monday 11/1/21
Astral Codex Ten Podcast
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College Enrolment in 2025
Lincoln post metaculus makes a bet that college enrolment will go down by ten per centage points in the next decade. They estimate only a 20 to 25 % chance that the rate of college enrolmentwill go down by 10%. So far we only have data up to 20 18, but between 20 15 and 20 18, numbers have gone up 29 point nine% to 31 percent. Still not sure if that will last until 20 25, though. Here's another screen capture from metaculus. How many minutes a week will codes report using gpt x codak type tools? In robin hanson's two thousand enty six twidepole, once again we see
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