On this episode of The Horizon, John discusses two big themes: a looming seniors housing supply gap and why multifamily still looks durable. He explains that the 80+ population is set to surge while construction lags far behind NIC MAP’s estimated needs, pushing occupancies up and rents higher—though labor shortages remain a risk. He then pivots to apartments, noting record absorption, a historically wide cost gap between owning and renting, and a steep drop in new starts—all of which should keep vacancies trending down even if growth cools in a recession. Net-net, he argues CRE—especially seniors housing and multifamily—remains compelling for long-term investors.
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