What Is the Model Predicting in the German Election?

Our model predicts the largest party almost certainly should be the union of the christian democrats in christian social union. That would very likely mean a c d u led coalition with the greens or the free democrats, making the c d us leader armand lashet the next chancellor. But our model has spied a potential upset if the social democratic party gets enough votes to team up with the greens and liberals. And the c du would be out of power for the first time in more than 15 years. Keep an eye on our germany election tracker. Find it at economist dot com.