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Episode 4: Respect the Polygon
Against the Rules with Michael Lewis
The Right Way to Judge a Forecast
Nate Silver: People were mad at us for not being confident enough in clinton's chances, right? Nate never claimed to have some mystical ability to call a presidential election. And assigning probabilities is not the same as taking sides. Yelling at him for saying that donal trump had a 30 % chance of winning was like being mad at the weather man for saying there was a 30% chance of rain and then getting mad all over again after it rains.
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