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BONUS: Stocks, Bonds, and War

The Rational Reminder Podcast

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Investing in Japan After World War II

Investors did try to learn from history in the late 19 thirties, but they mainly learned how to make new mistakes. On average, it is true that there is a decline in markets during times of war or crisis,. We know stock prices theoretically reflect the present value of expected cash flows and discounted at a rate that is reflective of risk. During times of war, drops in es are to be expected.

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