2min chapter

Michael Covel's Trend Following cover image

Ep. 1145: Good Morning Vietnam with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

CHAPTER

The Importance of Constraints in Economics

Economists can't do experiments. We don't have a parallel universe in which Ben Bernanke did not become Fed Chair or the government did not conduct TARP bailouts. In principle we're trying to do things like physics, where we posit a set of models and then test those models with data. Two different decently trained economists should agree on any positive analysis subject to normal scientific uncertainty.

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