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FiveThirtyEight Politics
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Ron DeSantis' Chances of Wining the Republican Nomination
Ron DeSantis is at 20-something, right? He's at 30%. So what's 30 plus 90? 120. They're going to be two Republican nominees. I'd say you have one front runner, and you have a second candidate who isn't a stronger position than most candidates are. Do you see anyone else who strikes you as somebody who would likely challenge Trump from the third? A treble like Tim Scott or current national party leader if you end up 6 points behind him.
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