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The Laws Of Quantitative Investing | Michael Robbins
Forward Guidance
The Effect of the Yield Curve on the Economy
In terms of the mechanism that causes the yield curve to slow the economy, there's a lot of steps in between. If sales are robust, maybe you can survive without really low financing for a while. Maybe your spreads are enough to survive indefinitely. And so that's why these simple things, they're really attractive. They make good headlines, but they're not always the best bets even if they have been six out of six times before.
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