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Paul Steinhardt, "Inflated Expectations: A Cosmological Tale" (Open Agenda, 2021)

Ideas Roadshow Podcast

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The Anthropic Principle Doesn't Help You

We could have existed a second ago if all the properties were the same. But there's expladentialy like eo the 50, or ten to the 50 times more patches like that than like us. The later you wait to produce ou patch, the more room there is to produce such patches. So younger patches, ones produced recently, are always more likely than older patches and we're an old patch. Were 14 billion, 13 point seven billion years old. And in one that's 13 point six billion years old, turns out to be hugely more probable than we are.

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