When official data starts serving politics, markets lose their anchor. Alan Dunne and Niels examine the quiet shift unfolding as the U.S. edges closer to emerging market behavior - firing statisticians, sidelining inconvenient numbers, and pressuring the Fed ahead of a consequential leadership reshuffle. With labor supply falling, growth stalling, and tariffs acting as stealth taxes, the Fed’s playbook no longer fits the moment. Behind the scenes, hedge fund power brokers position themselves to shape what comes next. Plus, an unvarnished look at trend following’s drawdown, the lazy critiques making the rounds, and why so many allocators still miss the point.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:32 - What has caught our attention recently?
08:53 - Dunne's global macro overview
13:31 - Is our understanding of growth and GDP outdated?
17:52 - The Fed is under threat from multiple angles
21:38 - Dunne's impression of Kevin Warsh as a candidate for Fed chairman
26:43 - An odd juxtaposition with hedge fund titans' influences on the Fed
32:35 - Industry performance update
37:30 - Our takeaways from The Wall Street Journal's article on Trend Following
43:35 - Why should investors even consider managed futures in the first place?
45:40 - Has Dunne ever been on the verge of cutting trend?
52:08 - Do long term investors really need diversifiers?
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