The 80,000 Hours Podcast on Artificial Intelligence (September 2023) cover image

Eight: Tom Davidson on how quickly AI could transform the world

The 80,000 Hours Podcast on Artificial Intelligence (September 2023)

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Trends in Computer Chip Quality and AI Training Costs

This chapter discusses the trends in computer chip quality and the increasing spending on chips for training AI. It explains how the doubling efficiency of algorithms and the decreasing price of compute contribute to a factor of 10 increase in the effect of compute on the largest training run every year, while also acknowledging the uncertainty in these predictions.

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