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All Bow to the God of Conventional Wisdom

The Dispatch Podcast

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The Worst Vibe Theory of Politics

This whole weird vibe theory of politics that started out of nowhere for about two or three months here and right in the run up to the midterms was things feel like they're going in one direction. But there was actually some indication that the feelings were being matched by data. If you looked at the generic ballot, for example, it flipped from being maybe narrowly for the Democrats to narrowly for Republicans. There was a very decisive vibe shift and a very small polling shift before the actual election day.

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