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Will Q2 Be Officially A Recession? Atlanta Fed Economist Forecasts | Patrick Higgins

The David Lin Report

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Forecasting Challenges: GDP Insights

This chapter explores the intricacies of the Atlanta Fed's GDP Now estimates, with a particular focus on housing starts and residential investment trends. It highlights the complexities of forecasting GDP growth, addressing the role of both hard and soft data, and discusses recent changes in inflation expectations and business hiring plans. The conversation underscores the difficulties in accurately predicting economic outcomes and the continuous refinement of forecasting methodologies over time.

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