3min chapter

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

How huge a deal is climate change, really? (with Diana Ürge-Vorsatz and Misha Glouberman)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

What Are Super Forecasters?

The Good Judgment Project is a group of super forecasters. They are people who have a proven track record of being able to predict things about the future. The way that they generally do that is sometimes by being experts, sometimes by being able to judge and aggregate the opinions of different experts. In 80 years from now, if climate change is pretty bad, fewer people will be starving,. More life expectancy will be longer, there will be less infant mortality in most cases.

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