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The Importance of Listening Less to Intellectual Leaders
One view is that if effect for altruism has been increasingly shifting from let's say global health to trying to prevent dangerous effects of AI technology, that it's because EA is getting better at figuring out the best thing to work on. Another view is that it's fashion or some kind of status related thing. It made a mistake in one of the two cases. Because it's very centralized, that mistake has really bad consequences. Maybe without sort of that mistake being made, more people would have worked on AI safety earlier.