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4min chapter
Ronald Meester and Klaas Slooten, "Probability and Forensic Evidence: Theory, Philosophy, and Applications" (Cambridge UP, 2021)
New Books in Mathematics
In Ordinary Probability, You Cannot Conviction Anyone Without Evidence
In an inordinary probability theory, if you know the probability of a certain event, then you also know the probability that it did not occur. But function can do something very funny. A belief function can assign belief one to the whole exsamble of people. So telling me i know for sure that somebody on the island did it, but at the same time, it can assign belief zero to each of the individuals. And so this chapter of the boogist is, i think, the most theoretical of allold and the most mathematical of all chapters. There are also philosophers now who actually claim and who defend that idea. M, so that has been a real, real pleasure.
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