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Wave of U.S. Treasury Issuance Puts Pressure On Bond Market | Prometheus Macro

Forward Guidance

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Introduction

The guest speaker explores the impact of the current tightening cycle on the private sector's net interest expense, discussing the abundance of cash and treasury assets that have affected nominal activity and contributed to a slower recession. Additional measures are proposed to elicit a recession, with a predicted durable downturn in rural GDP starting in March 2024.

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