2min chapter

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Bryan Caplan - Feminists, Billionaires, and Demagogues

Dwarkesh Podcast

CHAPTER

Is the Russian Revolution a Contingency?

I'll give like 99% without Lenin, even with all the other Bolsheviks, it wouldn't have happened. The whole revolution was based upon a tiny number of fanatics seizing power because they had 2000 guys following orders in a country where no one else was following orders. If you just waited a little while, like whatever, like other forces would have rebuilt and there would have been no hope for this tiny minority of lunatics to take over. So yeah, so overall, I am a big believer in contingency.

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