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Predictive Politics and Debate Dynamics
This chapter explores predictive betting markets, focusing on Poly Market's insights regarding Kamala Harris's chances in the upcoming election compared to Nate Silver's analysis. It examines the impact of candidates' demeanors, recent debate performances, and the need for actionable plans, highlighting frustrations over political messages and inconsistencies. The discussion also touches on the implications of endorsements and the desire for unity amidst divisive politics.