The Future of Ride-Hail

3min Snip

00:00

Play full episode

Summary

Transcript

Episode notes

We expect, again, the cost of an autonomous taxi could be as little as $0.25 per mile. That's less than half the cost of driving a personal car. And this is what's going to open up the ride-hail market to many people that do not have access to inexpensive point-to-point travel options today. We've done some analysis on how consumers value their time, specifically for work and non-work-related miles. There should be $1 to $3 trillion worth of demand at the $ 1 to $0.60 price point.

Welcome to the Big Ideas Monday Miniseries, brought to you by the For Your Innovation Podcast.

Big Ideas is meant to enlighten investors on the long-term impact of innovation. This annual research report seeks to highlight the technological breakthroughs evolving today and creating the potential for super-exponential growth tomorrow.

We believe that innovation is taking off now, corroborating our original research and boosting our confidence that ARK’s strategies are on the right side of change.

To learn more, view Big Ideas 2023.

This week’s Big Ideas Monday Mini Episode focuses on Autonomous Ride Hail.

Today, autonomous ride-hail services delight riders across ~15 cities internationally* and should scale into widespread commercial adoption within the next ten years.

Autonomous technology should reduce the cost of mobility to ~12% the average cost of human-driven ride-hail service today.

ARK’s research suggests that global autonomous ride-hail platforms will create $14 trillion in enterprise value, based on $4 trillion in revenue during the next five years.

Watch the video version here.

*This number includes both commercial and non-commercial services operating at the end of 2022. Sources: ARK Investment Management LLC, 2023. Forecasts are inherently limited and cannot be relied upon. For informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any particular security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.