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200 | Solo: The Philosophy of the Multiverse
Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
The Sleepy Beauty Problem
The argument would be that even if, on physics grounds, you had equal prior probability scenario a and scenario b, given that you are a human being with certain characteristics it's just easier to imagine someone just like you coming into existence in the universe scenario with more observers in it. So we should count that moread The way that we do that in this observer first approach is effectively to boost the prior probability by the number of observers in your reference class.
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