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Vol Arb, Rates Vol, Dispersion, & Risk Premium. Part II with Noel Smith

The Derivative

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How to Overcome Violations in Options Trading

The problem with options and most people don't really get their arms around this for a while is the market makers, especially in the options marketplace are very smart. You have to be able to exceed what their models are telling you. And so if you buy a hundred vol but it realizes a hundred vol, nobody cares. If you buy a 100 vol and it realizes 90 vol, you lose money. That sounds like a money losing strategy to me. It was terminal break even at best.

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