Marcus du Sautoy Meets Steven Pinker - Why Rationality Matters
How To Academy Podcast
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Is There a Difference Between True and False?
Signal detection theory separates out the legitimate degree of confidence that you are seeing a signal of something in the world, with the costs and benefits of being wrong in each way. The two ways of being wrong are the false alarm and the miss. It's relevant in many other domains of human judgment, such as the court room. Evidence is never perfect, so did the accused commit the crime? There are two ways to be wrong. You could have a false conviction send an innocent person to jail. How often does a bit of evidence really come from a guilty perpetrator, as opposed to someone who's innocent? How often do you mismatched d and a samples? Do bite marks actually mean what
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