Special: Jaan Tallinn on Pausing Giant AI Experiments
Future of Life Institute Podcast
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GPT-4: A Life-Ending Disaster?
The current estimate for kind of life ending disaster is basically one to 50% per generation of like 10 next thing of compute that's being thrown at these experiments. Would you have put that same estimate on GPT-4? Like do you think we just survived a 7% x-risk event with the training of G PT-4? That is a great question. With hindsight, I'm like super anchored now, right? So I really want to say no. But again, like the range is like 7% is like this point estimate. The thing that I kind of keep coming back to is we have these smooth curves, but then you have on individual behaviors, you have these sudden
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