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Climate Change
I was a bit surprised by various nations' willingness to shoot themselves in their own feet. It hasn't been great for Germany, France or a lot of the central European powers to have a fight with Russia and lose out on the energy. So I think whether or not we see changes in the coalition that we have right now are somewhat dependent on whether or not the sometimes rising, sometimes overhyped tide of populism in Western countries really goes into an acceleratory phase.