Phil says people would be better off if they were more honest with themselves about the functions that their beliefs serve. Psychologists feel clock is the author of super forecasting, the art and science of prediction. Our unsung hero this week is sophia dawkins, Sophia has spent years studying the conflict in south sudan.
When disaster strikes — from the explosion of a space shuttle to the spread of a deadly virus — we want to know whether we could have avoided catastrophe. Did anyone speak up with concerns about the situation? And if so, why didn’t someone listen? This week, we revisit a favorite episode about the psychology of warnings, and how we can all become better at predicting the future.
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