Ep 162: Steven Pinker’s ”Rationality” Chapter 7 ”Hits and False Alarms” Part 1
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How Do You Know if Your Methodology Is Wrong?
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary explanations behind them. So this is one of the difficulties here with this book rationality. I don't think it quite grapples with precisely that This this discussion of signal noise It kind of talks about okay, well you're saying a signal, but Is the signal really telling you even if you're repeatedly getting the signal? Or is it telling you that in fact something about your methodology has gone wrong after all? How do you know your methodology is wrong? That is a harder question and that is something that I'm going to have to come back to next episode.
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