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SI242: How to Detect when the Trend Changes ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

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The Importance of Complexity in Trend Modeling

The longer the trend model that you have, the less change points you're going to see. In some sense, whether Chairman Powell speaks or not on a Wednesday at a very regular schedule is of no consequence to a long-term trend follower. The important part is what's the marginal contribution to sharp? After I account for all the transactions costs that would be associated with that.

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