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Hilary Greaves | On the desire to make a difference | Global Priorities Institute 2022

EA Talks

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The Importance of Choosing Between Safe and Risky

If you like a flip of a fair coin zero lives saved by you if that coin lands tails. I also face a very similar decision between safe and risky. Although in the event that I choose risky the correlation between how many lives I save is the opposite to the one it was in your case. So there's going to be a danger that a pair of agents with these difference making risk averse preferences will both choose safe thereby with certainty bringing about a worse outcome. When that happens I'm going to say that these patterns of preferences lead to collective defeat of goodness.

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