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216 | John Allen Paulos on Numbers, Narratives, and Numeracy
Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
The Monty Hall Problem
The Monty Hall problem got people very worked up, right? Why don't you remind us what it is? Because maybe there's still people out there who've never heard of it. It has to do with a TV show in which there are three doors behind one of which is a car. The host asked the guest to choose the door behind which he hopes is a new car and if he's correct, he gives a new car. So that's a, the guest picks door one. But since the host opens door three, that two thirds probability is now focused on the unopened door. And often people say, no, it doesn't make any difference. There's two doors
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