The Complexity of Polls and Election Predictions

This is The Briefing, a daily analysis of news and events from a Christian worldview.

Part I (00:13 - 14:27)
Behind the ‘Science’ of Polling: What are the Polls? What Do They Tell Us? What Do We Want Them to Tell Us? What Do Others Want Us to Think They Tell Us?

• Forget the polls? Prediction fever takes over Trump vs. Harris 2024 election by USA Today (Phillip M. Bailey)
• One week to go: what is the state of the US presidential race? by The Financial Times (Oliver Roeder, Eva Xiao, Radhika Rukmangadhan, and James Politi)

Part II (14:27 - 24:09)
Opposing Worldviews, Fairness, and the LGBTQ Revolution: Will Fairness Be a Strong Enough Moral Judgment When It Comes to Men Participating in Women’s Sports?

• The dispute around a women’s volleyball team touches on a broader question: How to define ‘fair’ by The Associated Press (Deepti Hajela)

Part III (24:09 - 26:34)
Newsflash, People Don’t Trust the Media: Bezos Responds to the Backlash at The Washington Post’s Controversy

• The hard truth: Americans don’t trust the news media by The Washington Post (Jeff Bezos)

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