5min chapter

Flirting with Models cover image

Return Stacked® Bonds & Managed Futures ETF

Flirting with Models

CHAPTER

The Effects of Short Bonds on Treasury Returns

On March 9th and 10th, obviously there was rumors of a major bank run. The market went from pricing in an increased likelihood of a higher rate trajectory to pretty well overnight pricing in a major shift lower in the rate trajectory. Being short bonds and short rates were two of the largest contributors to trend CTA performance in 2022 and they'd also been a positive contributor to CTAperformance in 2023. This is the kind of move that happened almost overnight in a span of two or three days. So it took the top down method many days in order to lower its short allocation to rates and bonds. At the same time the bottom up out methodology because it understands the underlying mechanics of the

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