
Ep27 "The Future of AI" with Michal Kosinski
All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions
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How AI Solves the Unexpected Transfer Task
As we said before, as people become older and they are better able to predict the actions of others, there are extra layers to that. In this very simple experiment, it's just one participant predicting what another person is thinking. But we can also have a higher order beliefs. And so gradually when either more participants involved, more people involved or higher levels of beliefs involved, even adults and very intelligent adults can only reason up to a certain level of expectations. The question now is, how many layers can Chad GPT penetrate? How many higher order beliefs can it entertain? There's a lot of fantastic progress, but who knows where this will end? Those are really good questions and Mih
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