Episode 4: Respect the Polygon
Against the Rules: The Big Short Companion
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Understanding the Evolution of Expertise in a Probabilistic World
This chapter examines the discrepancy between public expectations and the realities of expert predictions, focusing on weather forecasting and various expert domains. It discusses the rise of a new breed of experts who embrace uncertainty, highlighting the potential consequences of misaligned perceptions, particularly in the American health care system.
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Transcript
