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The Law of Small Numbers and the Associative Machinery
System 1 suppresses ambiguity and spontaneously constructs stories that are as coherent as possible. System 2 is capable of doubt because it can maintain incompatible possibilities at the same time. Instead of focusing on how the event at hand came to be, statistical view relates it to what could have happened instead. Our predilection for causal thinking exposes us to serious mistakes in evaluating the randomness of truly random events.