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John Porter: Here Is How The Next 6 Months Will Look

The Macro Trading Floor

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Inverted Curves Are the Exception Not the Rule

The neutral nominal Fed funds rate should have been 2.5% correct okay however I would like to argue now that because of productivity increase if I'm right we can still have a much higher Fed funds rate but it's not because of inflation. So you can have an instance whereby real rates actually increase despite inflation declining and because of that I think that even today although we might not get to 5.5.5% immediately I think we will get there over the next several years.

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