What's Going Wrong With That Prediction Model?

I think there was a kind of false dicotime in much of the public cussion. We essentially ar dithered around through january, february and into mid march. Public health experts panicked because they saw other niil ferguson's midmarch projections that two point two million americans could die in half a million brits if you didn't lock down. Lockdowns were a very blunt instrument that had to be used after we had mistakenly let the virus spread unchecked. The real counterfactual is, why weren't we tian or south career tim on much, much closer geographically to the people's republic of china? 11 people have been recorded as