073 - Bayes' Theorem
You Are Not So Smart
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Embracing Bayesian Thinking
This chapter explores the concept of beliefs as existing on a spectrum rather than in binary absolutes, emphasizing the importance of a Bayesian mindset. It highlights how subjective confidence in probabilities can differ based on individual perspectives and the availability of information, illustrated through relatable examples and thought experiments. The discussion underscores the necessity of updating beliefs in light of new evidence, challenging instinctual tendencies that resist such changes.
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