4min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

Are Bonds Pricing in a Market Crash? | Alfonso Peccatiello

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Bond Market Thinks the Fed Can High-Crate From 0 to 1.5%

The bond market doesn't even try to price a Hiking cycle that is any more than mediocre. It stops at 1.5%. Every time the Fed tried to basically follow this implied I-path, something bad happened. In 2018, it was the autopilot Q4 stock market crash and then Powell had to pivot.

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