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The "Thanks for Nothing, Volodya" Edition

Rational Security

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The Ukranians Are Fully Committed

Ucranians are fully committed. They're fully committed because this ends badly for them no matter what. I don't see a way that you can impose even a small, forty eight hour humanitarian no flyzone wright the mis minimal thing and not be hap qualitative escalation if what you are credibly committing to is shooting down russian military plans. But again, based on everything puton is saying about how he views military engagement, even limited as opposed to sanctions. It depends on how credible an actor you think van eputon is. Do we really think he's incredible actor? On thi stuff, i think we have reason to doubta t that's the case.

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