The Rise of Athens and the Fear of War

The defining question about global order in the decades ahead will be, can China and the US escape to thi-diz trap? The historian's metaphor reminds us of the danger as two parties face when a rising power rivals ruling power. Athens did in 5th century BC and Germany did at end of 19th century. Most such challenges have ended in war. Like the Cold War before it, the war will be fought not over days, but over decades.

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