Jude Blanchette on the Hong Kong protests
Sinica Podcast
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Is October 1st Important in Beijing's Calculus?
A lot of observers have said that we should expect Beijing to do something ahead of October 1st which is just, you know, coming up in a couple of days. Do you think the anniversary date matters at all in Beijing's calculus? Yeah. Look, that would be some pretty piss poor decision making if they had this very artificial symbolic deadline of October 1th and a parade. The party has shown that it's willing to withstand international pro-brium if it feels like it's a core interest. They're going to make a calculation on Hong Kong based on the events on the ground in Hong Kong,. Not based on, look, yes, it will be embarrassing if there's a
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