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The Polling Says We're Not a Spoiler
The No Labels poll shows either Biden is narrowly ahead in a two-way race with Trump or it's basically tied within the margin of error. When you add an unnamed independent moderate, that candidate ends up in a distant third place with about 20% of the vote. And that is going to be the high watermark because if you tell someone, would you like to vote for someone unnamed who is an independent moderate? That sounds a lot better than here's a person with lots of flaws and done lots of things in their career that you don't like.