2min chapter

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Is There A Political Realignment Among Latino Voters?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Is It a Midterm or a Presidential?

Democrats won 68% of the Latino vote in 2018 which was a really big overperformance for Democrats, so I don't know if you can necessarily use that as a baseline for 2022. The overall picture is a picture of stability to 2020 with some declines in notable places well one major notable place which is Florida. No rebound to 2018 no rebound to 2016 levels Not a historic low for Democrats, but certainlyI'd say a draw relative to where we've been in the prior elections To look at 2014 which is the last time that Republicans had a better midterm than Democrats It looks like even then even in an environment where Republicans did quite well Democrats did really poorly.

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