2min chapter

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Episode 259: Comprehensive Overview: Estimating Expected Returns

The Rational Reminder Podcast

CHAPTER

The Role of Leverage in Long Term Portfolio Decisions

Conventional wisdom is that stocks are less volatile at longer investment horizons on a per year basis. This result is based on historical estimates of volatility, which what we argue in this paper is that investors making portfolio decisions should be looking into the future. We take the perspective of a forward-looking investor rather than a backward-looking historian, if you will.

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